Unfortunately, actual outcomes and expected outcomes don't always play out as we might hope as evident today to those of us who are Denver Bronco fans! My fifth grade math group has spent the last week of class experimenting to see just how to determine probability in mathematical terms but then also how experimenting to determine how reality plays out. Yesterday, we set up a carnival in class and students played games of chance in order to win tickets to turn in for a prize. Of the six "booths" set up, the probability of winning for each game ranged from about 10 - 60%. They had to play each game at least once and then they could return to any booth they wanted for the remainder of our play time - with the goal of course, to WIN! For these smart cookies, it didn't take long for them to realize that booth 1 and 3 held the most likelihood of winning. By letting them "play" with established expected outcomes and tracking actual outcomes, we have learned math and had some fun upon our return to work after Christmas break. And now maybe with their new-found knowledge, they'll be able to determine the probability of who is going to win tomorrow's play-off games better than I was able to predict today!
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Tracey BeanWerner Elementary Archives
May 2018
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